TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 22, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 22, 2026?

Volume:
$55,427

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,323
N/A
N/A
$7,492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,437
N/A
N/A
$10,287
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,846
N/A
N/A
$13,652
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,397
N/A
N/A
$3,882
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,345
N/A
N/A
$2,731
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,080
N/A
N/A
$1,502
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 22, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 42° or below, 43-44°, 45-46°, 47-48°, 49-50°, or above 50°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.