TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$26,223

50° to 51°

 - Kalshi

50° to 51° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

50° to 51°

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,704
N/A
N/A
$4,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,182
N/A
N/A
$5,794
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,583
N/A
N/A
$3,563
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,360
N/A
N/A
$3,011
Settled
No
kalshi

43° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,347
N/A
N/A
$1,605
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,048
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering insights into potential weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 43° or below, 44-45°, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, or above 51°F. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.