TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$15,843

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,627
N/A
N/A
$3,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

48° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,447
N/A
N/A
$5,174
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,627
N/A
N/A
$2,826
Settled
No
kalshi

39° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$866
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$487
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on official measurements.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 39°F or below, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, or 48°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and all participants must rely solely on its published values for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange retains the discretion to delay expiration until a corrected revision is issued or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. In the event that no valid data is available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The status of “Final” on The Weather Company’s platform is provided for convenience but does not guarantee immunity from errors or exemptions from the above procedures.