TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 38° or below, 39-40°, 41-42°, 43-44°, 45-46°, or above 46°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial publications.