TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$24,928

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,470
N/A
N/A
$2,466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,255
N/A
N/A
$15,164
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,633
N/A
N/A
$1,382
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,609
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
$803
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$886
N/A
N/A
$734
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in New York City on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or speculative purposes. The outcome depends solely on officially recorded weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51°F or below, 52°F to 53°F, 54°F to 55°F, 56°F to 57°F, 58°F to 59°F, or 60°F and above. The Exchange holds final discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending until a corrected version is released or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform does not guarantee error-free data.