TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$11,493

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,587
N/A
N/A
$1,526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,667
N/A
N/A
$5,380
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,581
N/A
N/A
$2,475
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$551
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52° or below, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, 59-60°, or above 60°. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, with preliminary readings subject to revision. If a material error is identified in the initial data before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. In the absence of available data by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.