TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?

Volume:
$107,083

42° to 43°

 - Kalshi

42° to 43° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

42° to 43°

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,384
N/A
N/A
$11,094
Settled
Yes
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,993
N/A
N/A
$18,446
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,299
N/A
N/A
$15,169
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,411
N/A
N/A
$7,411
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,697
N/A
N/A
$5,000
Settled
No
kalshi

39° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
$1,206
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how cold it will get, with outcomes determined by official weather measurements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on November 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 39° or below, 40-41°, 42-43°, 44-45°, 46-47°, or 48° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary data may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data and does not exempt markets from potential adjustments.