TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Mar 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Mar 3, 2026?

Volume:
$40,427

29° or above

 - Kalshi

29° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

29° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,002
N/A
N/A
$8,680
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27° to 28°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,694
N/A
N/A
$12,663
Settled
No
kalshi

25° to 26°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,406
N/A
N/A
$3,923
Settled
No
kalshi

20° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,787
N/A
N/A
$2,712
Settled
No
kalshi

21° to 22°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,345
N/A
N/A
$2,109
Settled
No
kalshi

23° to 24°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,193
N/A
N/A
$1,993
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event concerns the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on March 3, 2026, as documented by the National Weather Service. The market resolves affirmatively if the temperature falls outside a narrow range of 24-27° fahrenheit, covering nearly all plausible winter temperature outcomes for that date.