TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$72,755

66° to 67°

 - Kalshi

66° to 67° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,258
N/A
N/A
$4,031
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,674
N/A
N/A
$33,591
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,177
N/A
N/A
$24,719
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,568
N/A
N/A
$2,837
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,127
N/A
N/A
$1,727
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,476
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on July 31, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source for final verification, as preliminary reports from other services may differ due to rounding, conversion, or timing discrepancies. The latest available version of the Climatological Report for the specified date should be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies can vary between locations.