TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$38,781

66° to 67°

 - Kalshi

66° to 67° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,498
N/A
N/A
$3,636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,396
N/A
N/A
$26,947
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,546
N/A
N/A
$4,444
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,984
N/A
N/A
$1,180
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific future date, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature measurement reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at New York City (Central Park NY location) for July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions after initial reporting, and traders should use the latest available version of the official report for verification. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process may affect the final outcome, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.