TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific future date, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature measurement reported by the National Weather Service for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at New York City (Central Park NY location) for July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions after initial reporting, and traders should use the latest available version of the official report for verification. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process may affect the final outcome, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.