TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$76,778

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,999
N/A
N/A
$10,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,821
N/A
N/A
$19,826
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,403
N/A
N/A
$3,753
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,144
N/A
N/A
$7,980
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,743
N/A
N/A
$2,876
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,668
N/A
N/A
$2,221
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from a designated weather station on that day. Participants assess weather forecasts and historical trends to predict the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on July 28, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64°F or below, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS figure determines resolution. All traders should verify that the report corresponds to the correct date and location, as update frequencies can vary.