TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$76,230

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,688
N/A
N/A
$6,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,122
N/A
N/A
$20,173
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,675
N/A
N/A
$16,006
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,216
N/A
N/A
$2,962
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,060
N/A
N/A
$3,354
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,468
N/A
N/A
$2,665
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in New York City on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, and 71°F or above. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. All secondary sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather are explicitly discouraged, as preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies. The event emphasizes caution in interpreting early or unofficial readings, ensuring final resolution relies exclusively on the authoritative NWS documentation.