TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$14,302

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,098
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,193
N/A
N/A
$5,071
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,107
N/A
N/A
$2,063
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
$1,455
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,257
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the verified temperature report from an authoritative meteorological agency.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on July 26, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 59°F, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, or above 66°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Central Park NY Daily Climate Report.