TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$225,660

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,802
N/A
N/A
$9,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$173,746
N/A
N/A
$166,183
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,955
N/A
N/A
$7,001
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,736
N/A
N/A
$8,369
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,991
N/A
N/A
$6,111
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,430
N/A
N/A
$3,682
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded at Central Park, New York on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS New York office website under the Observed Weather tab for Central Park NY. Temperature ranges are: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, and 81°F or above. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.