TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$24,260

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,198
N/A
N/A
$3,851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,342
N/A
N/A
$7,931
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,801
N/A
N/A
$2,945
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,230
N/A
N/A
$1,543
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$1,013
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the overnight low temperature in New York City on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for Central Park, which records the minimum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Central Park, New York on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), accessible via the NWS New York office website. The reported temperature will be compared against six temperature bands: 62°F or below, 63–64°F, 65–66°F, 67–68°F, 69–70°F, and 71°F or above. Each band corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.