TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$18,926

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,161
N/A
N/A
$3,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,757
N/A
N/A
$3,278
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,693
N/A
N/A
$1,124
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
$1,491
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,903
N/A
N/A
$1,850
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the correct outcome based on precise measurements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68°F or below, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F. The exact temperature value from the official report determines the resolving market. Traders must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source, as other weather services may provide inconsistent or preliminary figures. It is important to note that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across locations. The most recent version of the data for the specified date should be used for resolution.