TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$28,268

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,073
N/A
N/A
$4,448
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,757
N/A
N/A
$7,950
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,666
N/A
N/A
$2,693
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,574
N/A
N/A
$2,511
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
$2,440
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,447
N/A
N/A
$1,181
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on precise meteorological reporting.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 8, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68° or below, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, or above 76°. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source for verification, as preliminary or third-party weather reports are not considered official. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process may affect interpretations, so caution is advised when evaluating early or unofficial data.