TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$86,497

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,242
N/A
N/A
$6,485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,563
N/A
N/A
$18,869
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,309
N/A
N/A
$18,451
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,789
N/A
N/A
$12,634
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,645
N/A
N/A
$4,815
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,949
N/A
N/A
$3,452
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature must be checked using the provided URL, and traders should use the latest available data. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 70°F or below, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, requiring caution in interpretation. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with only one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.