TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$28,104

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,261
N/A
N/A
$3,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° or above

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,315
N/A
N/A
$17,258
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,249
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$409
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at New York City (Central Park NY location) on August 6, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 67°F or below, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, or above 75°F. The data must be retrieved from the official NWS source at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx under the "Observed Weather" tab using the Daily Climate Report for Central Park NY. Traders should use the latest published report for the date, recognizing that different locations may update at varying frequencies. While third-party weather services may provide guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial readings.