TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative. The report may undergo revisions, so users should verify the final published data after the event date. Rounding and conversion nuances in the NWS methodology may affect borderline cases, requiring careful interpretation of the official figure.