TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$33,172

66° to 67°

 - Kalshi

66° to 67° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,542
N/A
N/A
$5,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,268
N/A
N/A
$12,869
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,887
N/A
N/A
$5,014
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,997
N/A
N/A
$3,833
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,527
N/A
N/A
$1,505
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$951
N/A
N/A
$951
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative. The report may undergo revisions, so users should verify the final published data after the event date. Rounding and conversion nuances in the NWS methodology may affect borderline cases, requiring careful interpretation of the official figure.