TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$16,286

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,380
N/A
N/A
$2,113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,268
N/A
N/A
$6,266
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,877
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
$1,243
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,050
N/A
N/A
$844
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, reflecting how weather patterns can influence local climate conditions. The outcome depends on official meteorological data, highlighting the importance of accurate measurements in understanding daily temperature variations.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64° or below, 65-66°, 67-68°, 69-70°, 71-72°, or 73° or above. The market resolves to Yes for the relevant range if the recorded minimum temperature falls within that range. All markets share the same secondary rule, emphasizing that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company's reported value is the official and final determinant. Participants should exercise caution with preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies that may affect the final reported temperature.