TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$29,443

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,508
N/A
N/A
$5,931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,465
N/A
N/A
$3,357
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,792
N/A
N/A
$2,956
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,540
N/A
N/A
$2,365
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,382
N/A
N/A
$2,081
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$734
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends solely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on August 3, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official data source must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, and traders should use the latest available report for the date. It is important to note that preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion nuances, so final confirmation should wait for the official report. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring that exactly one market will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within the defined ranges.