TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 27, 2026?

Volume:
$36,934

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,735
N/A
N/A
$4,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,143
N/A
N/A
$10,042
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,082
N/A
N/A
$3,460
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,991
N/A
N/A
$3,738
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,376
N/A
N/A
$2,398
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
$566
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in New York City on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions based on historical trends and seasonal patterns. The outcome depends on precise temperature readings from an official weather source, reflecting how weather forecasts and models can inform predictions about future environmental states.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on August 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range—65°F or below, 66–67°F, 68–69°F, 70–71°F, 72–73°F, or above 73°F—the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, with secondary guidance cautioning users about potential discrepancies in preliminary or third-party weather data due to rounding or conversion differences. No other weather services or interpretations influence the final resolution.