TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$20,521

75° or above

 - Kalshi

75° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,941
N/A
N/A
$5,517
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,584
N/A
N/A
$2,258
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,304
N/A
N/A
$1,215
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
No
kalshi

66° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official data sources. Participants assess where the temperature will fall within predefined ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in New York City on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, and traders should use the latest available report for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary data, participants are advised to exercise caution and rely solely on the final NWS report for resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one resolves to Yes.