TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$18,327

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,753
N/A
N/A
$6,171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,371
N/A
N/A
$5,952
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,590
N/A
N/A
$1,623
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$987
N/A
N/A
$875
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future, providing a clear weather-related outcome based on official meteorological data. Participants can assess historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to predict the likelihood of various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on August 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The official data source is The Weather Company, accessible via a specified URL on weather.com/kalshi under the 'Observed Weather' tab for Central Park NY. Participants must use the latest available data for the date, recognizing that different cities may update reports at varying frequencies. While other weather services may offer similar data, only The Weather Company's report serves as the binding authority for resolution.