TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$9,854

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,574
N/A
N/A
$2,795
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,532
N/A
N/A
$1,850
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,208
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$381
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$421
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 65° or below, 66-67°, 68-69°, 70-71°, 72-73°, or 74° and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report available at the provided URL, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in NWS reporting, caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.