TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific future date, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The exact temperature range determines which market settles as 'Yes,' with specific brackets covering every possible minimum temperature outcome from 68°F downward to above 76°F. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not binding. The NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so participants should use caution when interpreting early or unofficial readings. The final report version used for resolution will be the latest available after August 10, 2026, with all markets resolving based on this single authoritative measurement.