TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$50,355

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,617
N/A
N/A
$4,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,806
N/A
N/A
$21,500
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,497
N/A
N/A
$3,358
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,049
N/A
N/A
$2,860
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,162
N/A
N/A
$1,927
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,224
N/A
N/A
$1,163
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific future date, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The exact temperature range determines which market settles as 'Yes,' with specific brackets covering every possible minimum temperature outcome from 68°F downward to above 76°F. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not binding. The NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so participants should use caution when interpreting early or unofficial readings. The final report version used for resolution will be the latest available after August 10, 2026, with all markets resolving based on this single authoritative measurement.