TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical value reported, with different ranges determining distinct results.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The report must be accessed via the provided URL after the date passes, using the latest available version. Temperatures are evaluated against specific ranges: below 65°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. Each range corresponds to a unique market resolution. Traders must rely exclusively on NWS data, as preliminary or third-party reports are not considered official. Rounding and conversion nuances in NWS reporting may affect outcomes, so caution is advised when interpreting early data.