TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$31,601

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,334
N/A
N/A
$7,770
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,100
N/A
N/A
$6,784
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,998
N/A
N/A
$3,358
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,296
N/A
N/A
$2,532
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,071
N/A
N/A
$2,065
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,802
N/A
N/A
$1,802
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical value reported, with different ranges determining distinct results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The report must be accessed via the provided URL after the date passes, using the latest available version. Temperatures are evaluated against specific ranges: below 65°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. Each range corresponds to a unique market resolution. Traders must rely exclusively on NWS data, as preliminary or third-party reports are not considered official. Rounding and conversion nuances in NWS reporting may affect outcomes, so caution is advised when interpreting early data.