TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The National Weather Service will record the minimum temperature in New Orleans on June 5, 2026, and categorize it into temperature ranges throughout the day.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jun 5, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that allow traders to buy or sell shares reflecting their belief about the outcome. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater market confidence in that temperature range occurring. Kalshi's order book and real-time pricing let you see the exact odds at any moment, and you can trade fractional shares to fine-tune your exposure to this weather event.
The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the lowest temperature for June 5, 2026 in New Orleans has been recorded and verified. Resolution hinges on official temperature data from a designated weather station or meteorological authority serving the New Orleans area. Once the day concludes and the minimum temperature is confirmed, the contract settles to reflect the actual outcome, and traders' positions are finalized based on whether their prediction matched the recorded low.
Major weather pattern shifts, tropical systems, or upper-level atmospheric changes could significantly move odds for the lowest temperature in New Orleans on June 5, 2026. Seasonal climate anomalies, La Niña or El Niño effects, and long-range forecast updates from meteorological agencies will influence trader positioning. As June approaches, short-range models become more reliable, typically tightening the market range. Real-time weather alerts, model consensus changes, and historical temperature comparisons for that date will all drive trading activity and price adjustments.