TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$6,714

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,133
N/A
N/A
$1,838
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,571
N/A
N/A
$1,058
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at New Orleans on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official figures.