TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes are determined by official National Weather Service data, categorizing the temperature into distinct ranges. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likely temperature band for that day.
All markets resolve based on the official minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans, Louisiana, on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. It is important to note that while third-party weather services may provide guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report determines the outcome. Preliminary data from the NWS may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial readings. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring one and only one market will resolve as 'Yes' once the official data is published.