TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$5,951

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,263
N/A
N/A
$2,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
$557
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes are determined by official National Weather Service data, categorizing the temperature into distinct ranges. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likely temperature band for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans, Louisiana, on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. It is important to note that while third-party weather services may provide guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report determines the outcome. Preliminary data from the NWS may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial readings. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring one and only one market will resolve as 'Yes' once the official data is published.