TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$11,589

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,609
N/A
N/A
$3,136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,107
N/A
N/A
$774
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,387
N/A
N/A
$1,240
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$191
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low temperature for that day. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for the specified location and date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans, LA on July 23, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 74°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The official NWS report is the sole authority for determining the outcome, and traders must use the latest version available after the reporting period concludes. Preliminary or third-party weather data sources are not valid for resolution purposes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve to Yes based on where the actual minimum temperature falls within these defined ranges. Traders should be aware that NWS data may undergo revisions or corrections after initial publication, and final resolution will use the authoritative, finalized report.