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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 10, 2026?

Volume:
$4,734

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,164
N/A
N/A
$2,343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on July 10, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for New Orleans, which measures the minimum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at New Orleans, LA on July 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Southern Region Climate portal under the New Orleans, LA location with Daily Climate Report selected. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be used for resolution. While secondary sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather may provide guidance, only the NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on July 10, 2026 is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual minimum temperature to the predefined ranges offered in the market. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome receive their payout automatically. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event, once official temperature data is confirmed and published.

Several factors could shift odds significantly before Jul 11, 2026. Major weather pattern changes—such as tropical systems, heat domes, or cold fronts—would trigger immediate repricing as traders update their forecasts. Seasonal climate reports, long-range model updates, and historical temperature anomalies for early July also influence trading. Real-time atmospheric data closer to the event date typically drives the sharpest moves. Additionally, any unusual weather events in the weeks prior could alter baseline expectations and push traders to reassess their positions in this market.