TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$5,871

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,078
N/A
N/A
$3,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,069
N/A
N/A
$626
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likely temperature range. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans, LA on August 6, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 70°F or below, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or 79°F and above. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Users should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across locations. The URL provided in the secondary rules offers the official data source for verification.