TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$12,288

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,028
N/A
N/A
$2,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,324
N/A
N/A
$4,198
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$670
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71–72°F, 73–74°F, 75–76°F, 77–78°F, or above 78°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary or third-party data sources are not binding, and users should be aware of potential rounding or conversion nuances in the official data. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual minimum temperature falls within these defined ranges.