TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event date.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° and above. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'New Orleans, LA' with the Daily Climate Report. Traders should use the latest available report for the date, recognizing that reporting frequencies may vary across locations. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. All outcomes hinge entirely on the final, authoritative temperature value published in the designated NWS format.