TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$8,001

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,943
N/A
N/A
$2,941
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,577
N/A
N/A
$1,199
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,243
N/A
N/A
$1,086
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° and above. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'New Orleans, LA' with the Daily Climate Report. Traders should use the latest available report for the date, recognizing that reporting frequencies may vary across locations. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. All outcomes hinge entirely on the final, authoritative temperature value published in the designated NWS format.