TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 13, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 13, 2026?

Volume:
$12,373

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,998
N/A
N/A
$4,065
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,457
N/A
N/A
$906
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,449
N/A
N/A
$863
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,402
N/A
N/A
$941
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$1,037
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,022
N/A
N/A
$882
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on where the minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, using official government data as the sole source for resolution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 13, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which of six temperature ranges the official minimum falls into: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° and above. Traders must reference the official NWS data via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'New Orleans, LA' with the Daily Climate Report. Preliminary or third-party data sources are not valid for resolution. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in NWS reporting, caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data. The latest available NWS report for the date will be used as the definitive record.