TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$7,949

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,464
N/A
N/A
$2,659
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,726
N/A
N/A
$3,661
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$85
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the officially reported minimum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° and above. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Users should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across locations may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the final reported value.