TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$18,206

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,953
N/A
N/A
$3,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,872
N/A
N/A
$6,354
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,288
N/A
N/A
$878
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
$890
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
$818
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$906
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess historical trends and seasonal patterns to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for New Orleans, Louisiana on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and final resolution will depend on the official published data. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.