TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess historical trends and seasonal patterns to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for New Orleans, Louisiana on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and final resolution will depend on the official published data. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.