TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$4,297

51° to 52°

 - Kalshi

51° to 52° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,431
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
$639
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$387
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$351
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected cold snap in Minneapolis on a specific future date, allowing participants to assess how low temperatures might drop during that period. The outcome depends entirely on official weather recordings from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 47°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, or above 54°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.