TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$7,839

44° to 45°

 - Kalshi

44° to 45° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° to 45°

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,265
N/A
N/A
$3,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$708
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$794
N/A
N/A
$482
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in Minneapolis on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 38°F, 38–39°F, 40–41°F, 42–43°F, 44–45°F, or above 45°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in preliminary data, extending the evaluation period until a corrected version is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revision or Exchange review.