TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Minneapolis on a particular day in the future. Each market corresponds to a different possible temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm the day might be.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 32° or below, 33-34°, 35-36°, 37-38°, 39-40°, and 41° or above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority for resolution, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In the absence of data by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.