TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 30, 2026?

Volume:
$10,447

39° to 40°

 - Kalshi

39° to 40° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39° to 40°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,405
N/A
N/A
$1,044
Settled
Yes
kalshi

41° or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,980
N/A
N/A
$3,882
Settled
No
kalshi

33° to 34°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,875
N/A
N/A
$1,673
Settled
No
kalshi

37° to 38°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
$1,026
Settled
No
kalshi

32° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

35° to 36°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Minneapolis on a particular day in the future. Each market corresponds to a different possible temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm the day might be.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 32° or below, 33-34°, 35-36°, 37-38°, 39-40°, and 41° or above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority for resolution, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In the absence of data by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.