TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$3,222

50° or above

 - Kalshi

50° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

50° or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,436
N/A
N/A
$1,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

41° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
$912
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Minneapolis on October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct minimum temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate probabilities for various thermal conditions on that date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 41°F or below, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, or 50°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any preliminary readings may be subject to rounding or conversion differences. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. In the absence of final data by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy.