TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 27, 2026?

Volume:
$34,743

44° to 45°

 - Kalshi

44° to 45° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° to 45°

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,123
N/A
N/A
$5,495
Settled
Yes
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,913
N/A
N/A
$3,980
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,243
N/A
N/A
$7,201
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
$2,174
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. Participants can bet on different temperature ranges, with the outcome determined by official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 37°F or below, 38-39°F, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, or above 45°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In the event that no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is provided for convenience but does not guarantee immunity from data errors or subsequent corrections.