TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$11,921

48° to 49°

 - Kalshi

48° to 49° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

48° to 49°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,196
N/A
N/A
$4,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$1,416
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
$1,426
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,556
N/A
N/A
$1,428
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,398
N/A
N/A
$1,358
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,236
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Minneapolis on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 41°F or below, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, or 50°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and participants should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.