TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$4,149

43° to 44°

 - Kalshi

43° to 44° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

43° to 44°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
$943
Settled
Yes
kalshi

47° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
$564
Settled
No
kalshi

38° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390
N/A
N/A
$268
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected cold snap in Minneapolis on a specific future date, allowing participants to assess how likely the city is to experience particularly low temperatures. The outcome depends entirely on official weather recordings from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 39°F, 39-40°F, 41-42°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, or above 46°F. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and the 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform does not exempt data from potential revisions or errors.