TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$6,317

44° to 45°

 - Kalshi

44° to 45° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° to 45°

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,517
N/A
N/A
$2,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,651
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,431
N/A
N/A
$1,395
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$140
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event assesses the expected minimum temperature in Minneapolis on a specific date, helping participants gauge climate conditions for planning or risk assessment purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 38°F, 38–39°F, 40–41°F, 42–43°F, 44–45°F, or above 45°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary readings may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting them. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee immunity from data errors or subsequent corrections.