TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$3,020

45° to 46°

 - Kalshi

45° to 46° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° to 46°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$958
Settled
Yes
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

40° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$242
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in Minneapolis on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 41°F, 41-42°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, or above 48°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies material errors in preliminary data, extending the period until a corrected version is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not override these resolution procedures.