TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$2,312

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$849
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or above

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$190
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Minneapolis on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 41°F or below, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, or 50°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.