Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jun 2, 2026?

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Minneapolis's lowest temperature on June 2, 2026. Analyst forecasts from meteorological services typically rely on historical climate data, seasonal patterns, and atmospheric modeling. Markets often incorporate broader information sets and adjust dynamically as new weather data emerges. Comparing Kalshi odds to National Weather Service or climate analyst predictions can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than traditional forecasters expect.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Minneapolis on June 2, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader expectations. Prices move based on supply and demand as new weather forecasts, seasonal data, and real-time conditions shift market sentiment. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different temperature thresholds, with prices converging toward the true outcome as the event date approaches. Kalshi's order book and depth determine how quickly prices adjust to new information.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded lowest temperature in Minneapolis on June 2, 2026. This outcome is typically verified against data from the National Weather Service or other authoritative meteorological sources. Once the date passes and the actual low temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded temperature falls into, paying out traders who held the correct position.

Several factors could shift odds on Kalshi before Jun 3, 2026. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the arrival of cold fronts, would move prices. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and long-range climate models influence trader expectations. Real-time atmospheric data closer to June 2 becomes increasingly important. Historical temperature anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and broader climate trends also inform market pricing. As the event date nears, short-term weather forecasts will dominate price movements.